Author Topic: Coronavirus watch (Read 1517 times)

Flyin6 · « **on:** March 11, 2020, 05:57:13 PM »

I have been watching the development of this thing from almost the earliest days

I have calculated the death rate for a couple of weeks and noted that the ratio of dead to infected is more or less constant.

That number hovers in and around the 3.7% range.

Why is that useful to know? Well if the ratio remains constant, then that probably means the virus has not mutated, and mutate it will.

I will just go out on a limb here and say that this thing is synthetic. Its release was very likely accidental. Whuwan, ground zero for this virus is also the home of China's germ warfare lab, same as our Ft. Detrick in Maryland. The Chinese have refused the US, and the CDC people from coming in and testing. I believe the reason is that they don't want the world to find out that China is responsible for what will become a substantial die off of humans worldwide.

I'll update the statistics here day by day

So let's start tracking the statistics

Date Confirmed Cases Recovered Dead Fatalities increase

03102020 120,454 66,933 4,375 3.63%
03112020 125,672 67,051 4,607 3.66% +5,218 +4.15%
03122020 134,098 68,898 4,965 3.70% +8,426 +6.28%
03132020 145,496 71,195 5,417 3.72% +11,398 +7.83%

Flyin6 · « **Reply #1 on:** March 11, 2020, 06:20:34 PM »

Bioweapon:

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jan/26/coronavirus-link-china-biowarfare-program-possible/

TexasRedNeck · « **Reply #2 on:** March 11, 2020, 06:44:55 PM »

Faucci said it has mutated at least once. And today they came out and said death rate was 1% but that’s still 10 times the flu

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KensAuto · « **Reply #3 on:** March 11, 2020, 09:42:56 PM »

What are we supposed to believe.
Both China and South Korea say they're on a downhill slope.
I would tend to believe SK...
Then leaders like Merkel say they might see as much as a 70% infected rate in Germany... that's 55 million people.

And what's up with buying all the toilet paper?
Maybe people are confusing the virus with what happens after drinking too much of the Mexican beverage?

TexasRedNeck · « **Reply #4 on:** March 11, 2020, 09:55:04 PM »

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stlaser · « **Reply #5 on:** March 11, 2020, 10:49:16 PM »

Quote from: TexasRedNeck on March 11, 2020, 06:44:55 PM

Faucci said it has mutated at least once. And today they came out and said death rate was 1% but that’s still 10 times the flu

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This is misleading ^^^^^^

It’s 10x the flu for immunocompromised/ elderly, that is the part they keep forgetting to add in.

Nate · « **Reply #6 on:** March 11, 2020, 11:04:03 PM »

Bigdave_185 · « **Reply #7 on:** March 12, 2020, 07:31:35 AM »

For gee wiz sake I am headed to the store this am@6 to see what is at the local. Glad I paid off my truck this month, glad my home is the only loan to pay for and a car I don’t need if it get rough like it sounds like it will

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Flyin6 · « **Reply #8 on:** March 12, 2020, 09:21:55 AM »

Death rate is clearly 3.6-3.7%

The math speaks for itself

And it has mutated twice I am told by my sister. It seems that both strains have the approximate characteristics

KensAuto · « **Reply #9 on:** March 12, 2020, 10:29:26 AM »

Quote from: Flyin6 on March 12, 2020, 09:21:55 AM

Death rate is clearly 3.6-3.7%

The math speaks for itself

And it has mutated twice I am told by my sister. It seems that both strains have the approximate characteristics

..of known infected.

I can tell you who isn't going to lose sleep over it. This guy.

cj7ox · « **Reply #10 on:** March 12, 2020, 03:41:20 PM »

Yeah, the story I'm getting is that there are probably quite a lot of people who have been exposed, never displayed symptoms, and never new they had it. Since they do not have the data to truly determine the number of people who have contracted the virus, the death rate numbers cannot be truly accurate. I think there is a great amount of over-reaction due to the media.

dave945 · « **Reply #11 on:** March 12, 2020, 04:13:52 PM »

Considering that a lot of people most likely confused the symptoms with regular flu and lived through it without problems, I’m guessing the numbers are off, and who’s going to make a big deal about it if they aren’t feeling deathly ill. Oh yeah, the media will.

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TexasRedNeck · « **Reply #12 on:** March 12, 2020, 07:55:51 PM »

No one remembers H1N1? Of course not. The media fawned over Obama’s handling. 60,000,000 infected. 300,000 hospitalized.

But I got some new gear today just in case

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Flyin6 · « **Reply #13 on:** March 12, 2020, 08:49:19 PM »

Quote from: TexasRedNeck on March 12, 2020, 07:55:51 PM

No one remembers H1N1? Of course not. The media fawned over Obama’s handling. 60,000,000 infected. 300,000 hospitalized.

But I got some new gear today just in case

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At least one of us is ready!

Good job!

Nate · « **Reply #14 on:** March 13, 2020, 10:04:07 PM »

This belongs in both places!..

Bigdave_185 · « **Reply #15 on:** March 13, 2020, 10:10:53 PM »

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Flyin6 · « **Reply #16 on:** March 13, 2020, 10:36:33 PM »

Take a look at the numbers in the table on the first post

The amount of cases is increasing, but not in a linear fashion, but a steepening curve. That's saying the rate of the spread of the infection is picking up speed. You've all done this before, 2+2=4, 4+4=8, 8+8=16, 16+16=32 and so forth. You begin to get to some really big numbers pretty fast.

Bigdave_185 · « **Reply #17 on:** March 13, 2020, 10:57:00 PM »

They are still feeding false numbers no matter how you look at it, when I talked to my dr yesterday he said their office can’t even get a test kit to preform it to verify who does and doesn’t have it.

New says two cases in Ogden area. Extremely hard to believe those two folks didn’t see anyone for the whole time of infection to spread it.

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KensAuto · « **Reply #18 on:** March 13, 2020, 11:14:38 PM »

Mann I cringe every time I see a graph in the shape of a hockey stick.
Pun intended.

TexasRedNeck · « **Reply #19 on:** March 15, 2020, 10:51:38 PM »

Watching “pandemic” series on Netflix. Pretty awesome

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Farmer Jon · « **Reply #20 on:** March 16, 2020, 06:56:12 AM »

I don't think we have seen the worst of it yet.

TexasRedNeck · « **Reply #21 on:** March 19, 2020, 07:39:59 AM »

So I’m watching the news and all the shutdowns. Makes me wonder if the virus isn’t more serious than they are letting on. I can’t imagine this reaction to a flu epidemic. H1N1 was more deadly(supposedly) and killed 18000 in the US and infected 60,000,000 and we didn’t shut auto factories for a month.

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cj7ox · « **Reply #22 on:** March 19, 2020, 11:41:32 AM »

Quote from: TexasRedNeck on March 19, 2020, 07:39:59 AM

So I’m watching the news and all the shutdowns. Makes me wonder if the virus isn’t more serious than they are letting on. I can’t imagine this reaction to a flu epidemic. H1N1 was more deadly(supposedly) and killed 18000 in the US and infected 60,000,000 and we didn’t shut auto factories for a month.

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I think this is in large part a response to the overwhelming media "the world is ending and it's all Trump's fault" doom and gloom. But that's just my opinion.

cruizng · « **Reply #23 on:** March 19, 2020, 01:51:02 PM »

I believe it is worse from a Contagion aspect from H1N1 due to the number of days you can be infected and a carrier/transmission vector. You hear variable timelines but the shortest I have heard is 14 days. So people in contact that have no idea they are infected pass it along. Quarantine and isolation are the only thing that stops that and that seems to be what they are focused on.

Plus the fact that they are shortage of tests and they want to slow the roll into emergency care. In MN they have 1700 frozen samples waiting to test. If those 1700 do follow a self quarantine protocol they are just infecting many others.

The other viruses burned out much quicker.

EL TATE · « **Reply #24 on:** March 19, 2020, 04:30:02 PM »

Hit the nail on the head there. Incubation period and lack of severity of symptoms in the young and mobile make a perfect scenario to spread it around. it's like it was designed to take out baby boomers, elderly, conservative, republican... hmmmmmm.

Flyin6 · « **Reply #25 on:** March 19, 2020, 11:21:55 PM »

Quote from: TexasRedNeck on March 19, 2020, 07:39:59 AM

So I’m watching the news and all the shutdowns. Makes me wonder if the virus isn’t more serious than they are letting on. I can’t imagine this reaction to a flu epidemic. H1N1 was more deadly(supposedly) and killed 18000 in the US and infected 60,000,000 and we didn’t shut auto factories for a month.

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Possible engineered emergency blown up by the disinformation media to crash Trumps reelection possibility.
They can now say that under Trump the market collapsed, many Americans dead, and on and on...
Speculation here...

Nate · « **Reply #26 on:** March 19, 2020, 11:28:22 PM »

JR, i guess you schiff out of luck!!!!!